Samara University Repository
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| Title: | Applying method of phase plane to a fuzzy trend when predicting the project metrics presented by time series |
| Issue Date: | May-2019 |
| Publisher: | Новая техника |
| Citation: | Moshkina I.A. Applying method of phase plane to a fuzzy trend when predicting the project metrics presented by time series / Moshkina I.A., Egov E.N., Romanov A.A. // Сборник трудов ИТНТ-2019 [Текст]: V междунар. конф. и молодеж. шк. "Информ. технологии и нанотехнологии": 21-24 мая: в 4 т. / Самар. нац.-исслед. ун-т им. С. П. Королева (Самар. ун-т), Ин-т систем. обраб. изобр. РАН-фил. ФНИЦ "Кристаллография и фотоника" РАН; [под ред. В.А. Соболева]. – Самара: Новая техника, 2019. – Т. 3: Математическое моделирование физико-технических процессов и систем. - 2019. - С. 737-742. |
| Abstract: | In the article is proposed the method of applying the entropy measure to the fuzzy trend of time series of design metrics. An analysis of project performance is described. A prediction algorithm has been developed and implemented. The algorithm is based on the indices of fuzzy trends in time series. The formula for the entropy measure according to the fuzzy trend for a fuzzy time series is defined. The measure of entropy uses statistical information on the behavior of a fuzzy trend on the phase plane. The hypothesis of trend stability is used for forecasting. Experiments based on this approach are presented. |
| URI: | http://repo.ssau.ru/jspui/handle/123456789/11496 |
| Appears in Collections: | Информационные технологии и нанотехнологии |
| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| paper116.pdf | Основная статья | 500.04 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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